Electoral College Prediction: Trump:342 Biden: 196
States Held from 2016: FL, MI, WI, TX,AL, AK,AR,AZ,GA, ID,IN,IA,KS, KY,LA, ME-2,MS,MO,MT,NE,NC,ND,OH,OK,PA,SC,SD,TN,UT,WV,WY
Total Number of Electoral Votes from 2016 Holds: 306
States We Will Flip: MN, NV, CO, NM, NH, 3 Electoral Votes In ME
Reasons I think we will flip the above States:
Colorado and New Mexico set GOP Primary records when the GOP incumbent is unopposed.
Minnesota was 0.3% difference in 2016 and as a result will be more Republican in 2020. We can thank historically Democrat voters in Northern Minnesota flipping the northern part of the state where President Trump received the endorsement of seven Democrat Mayors in the historical iron mining communities in Minnesota’s Iron Range.
GOP Early Voting in Nevada has set records. Republicans hold a slight edge while Democrats are underperforming Hillary in the Silver State.
New Hampshire has a “Live Free or Die” spirit and it was decided by 0.2% in 2016. I think we will flip New Hampshire because Biden did not finish in the top three finishing 5th in the Primary. Conversely President Trump and Republicans set a New Hampshire record for primary turnout for a largely unopposed Republican Incumbent. Finally New Hampshire has a historically America First and populist attitude and President Trump reflects this attitude because he has kept us safe and out of foreign entanglements while keeping our US Military strong advocating the peace through strength model a previous Republican President Ronald Reagan advocated.
Finally, I believe we will take three out of four in Maine because President Trump has saved the lobster industry. In addition, Maine has a great chance to flip because it shares the America First and populist streak with its neighbor New Hampshire.