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January 25, 2020

Global Warming Or Global Cooling?

Cindy A. Rose

AccuWeather says Saturday is going to be partly sunny with a high of 49 degrees and a low of 33 here in Frederick.  Weatherbug says Saturday rain with a high of 49, a low of 35 and Justin Berk, makes you jump through too many hoops for me to care what he has to say.

BUT do you know what the weather on the Sun is going to be this weekend?  Do you care?  I think it’s interesting so here goes.  Click away if you have no interest in space weather. reports:  A new sunspot emerging in the Sun’s northern hemisphere. Such sunspots will become increasingly rare in the weeks and months ahead as old Solar Cycle 24 moves into Solar Cycle 25.  The sunspot poses no threat for strong solar flares.

I’m new to “space weather” so feel free to assist me in the comments on Facebook.  Near as I can understand low solar winds means no charged particles will be heading to earth to mess with electric transformers, signals for radios, WiFi, satellites, etc.  Space weather is important to the functioning of today’s technologically driven world.

I’m learning, beyond the obvious, that the Sun has a lot to do with Earth’s weather and its magnetic field.

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) current Solar Wind Speed is 301 kilometers (187 miles) per second.

Also according to NOAA there are four major contributors to climate change.  Number one is the Sun; two is greenhouse gasses, three is volcanoes and fourth is the El Nino Southern Oscillation.

The smallest changes on the Sun have impactful changes on Earth. 

Just like weather on Earth is cyclical, the weather on the Sun is as well.  The Sun has an eleven year solar cycle.  Every eleven years the Sun’s north and south poles flip; eleven years later they flip back.  As the magnetic fields change, solar activity on the surface of the Sun changes.

Earth’s magnetic poles move as well.  More on that on another weekend.

There are solar minimums (cooling of the Sun), which we are in, and solar maximums (warming of the Sun).  The last solar maximum may have been around 2014 then the Sun began to move into a solar minimum.  With solar maximums come lots of solar flares and increased activity on the Sun.  Maximums’ wreak a lot of havoc with modern technology that can even effect the electric grids.

Since we are currently in the solar minimum, that means there will be more auroras around the poles.  Current solar Cycle 25 is predicted to peak between 2023 and 2026 (solar maximum).

Cycle 24 was reported to have been low in solar sunspot activity (cooling).  Cycle 25 has a mixture of predictions, however, some are predicting more decline in sunspots (more cooling).   When the Sun cools, the Earth cools.

The last time such declines were recorded was a period you may recall hearing in school called the “Little Ice Age” or the “Maunder Minimum”.  Well, if you were a science geek like me, you may recall it.

The Little Ice Age happened between 1300 and 1800 and dropped temperatures to the point they saw snow in June.  Crops failed, people went hungry.

We began climbing out of the Little Ice Age in the late 20th century.  Hence the misguided belief in man-made “global warming”.  If the sunspot predictions are accurate, the reality is more likely we are headed back into another Little Ice Age – in roughly 15 years.

With a 15 year window, we may find out which science is more accurate.  In the meantime prepare for the worst.

How should you prepare?  Hint: You can’t crow corn in the snow.

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