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December 9, 2009

The Coming Ice Age

Kevin E. Dayhoff

Twenty thousand delegates from 192 countries are currently converging on Copenhagen, the capital of Denmark, for the breathlessly awaited “Copenhagen Climate Change Conference.”


From December 7 until December 18, the Kabuki theatre, otherwise known as “15th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change;” proclaimed by various media accounts “as the most important the world has ever seen,” will play itself out LIVE, in existential Technicolor, for all the world to see.


Yvo de Boer, U.N. chief climate negotiator, is boasting that the conference is in excellent shape and countries throughout the world are lining-up to make pledges to curb greenhouse gas emissions in an effort to arrive at an agreement to continue the drama of the Kyoto Protocol, which the Copenhagen agreement is meant to replace when it expires in 2012.


“Never in 17 years of climate negotiations have so many different countries made so many pledges. It is unprecedented,” Mr. de Boer told the BBC.


Yeah, right.  It is unprecedented for sure. George Will said it best in his recent column, “The climate-change travesty.”


“Its organizers (have) hoped that it (will) produce binding caps on emissions, global taxation to redistribute trillions of dollars, and micromanagement of everyone's choices.”


Robin Pagnamenta, The Times (UK) energy editor, wrote on October 24, that “20,000 people, 192 countries. Welcome to the carbon circus”: “‘There is limited time and so much to be done,’ Andrew Hedges … said. ‘If political leaders fail then the scientists tell us that the consequences could be catastrophic.’”


Let there be no doubt.


According to Newsweek: “There are ominous signs that the earth’s weather patterns have begun to change dramatically and that these changes may portend … serious political implications for just about every nation on earth...


“The evidence in support of these predictions has now begun to accumulate so massively that meteorologists are hard-pressed to keep up with it…


“Climatologists are pessimistic that political leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the climatic change, or even allay its effects…


“The longer the planners delay, the more difficult will they find it to cope with climatic change once the results become grim reality.”


Those words are from a Newsweek science article by Peter Gwynne, “The Cooling World,” written on April 28, 1975.


Are you confused yet? It gets better. That’s because the cause for Mr. Gwynne’s alarm was “the earth’s climate seems to be cooling down … If the climatic change is as profound as some of the pessimists fear, the resulting famines could be catastrophic.


“‘A major climatic change would force economic and social adjustments on a worldwide scale,’ warns a recent report by the National Academy of Sciences…’ ”


Oh, you may be fascinated to know that one of the solutions discussed was “melting the arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot…”


The economic, sociological, and political consequences of climate change are well known to economic historians who have studied the impact of the “Medieval Warm Period,” 800 to 1300.


Much of the reason we are reading this in North America is the result of the dramatic consequences of the “Little Ice Age” from approximately 1500 to around 1850.


Throughout the history of our planet, the vagaries of natural “climate change” have been a constant. So, can we please stop using these natural fluctuations as a cause célèbre for a hidden agenda of bashing, taxing, and regulating the world’s economy back to the Stone Age?


There is no doubt that the activities of an exploding world population are having an impact on Mother Earth. The rub is the pathway conflict that pervades the hyper-politicized current discussions.


In that context, the impediments to implementing the necessary changes to how we are to be better stewards of the planet are environmentalists, who hype the discussion with hyperbole, intellectual corruption, and emotional pseudo-voodoo-science, and confuse the issues with the politics of anti-business and utopian socialist goals.


However, the same reasons that sank the Kyoto Protocol, which the United States Senate refused to ratify, will sink Copenhagen. Remember that our Senate must approve of all international treaties under our Constitution.


“Perhaps the biggest stumbling block is the complex climate politics between the U.S., China and India. Developing countries led by China — which is the biggest carbon polluter in the world — and India say that by 2020 the developed world needs to commit itself to cuts at least 40 per cent below 1990 levels to avoid the worst of climate change,” says The Times (UK.)


The rest of the story is well defined by Mr. Will, who said:


“Barack Obama, understanding the histrionics required in climate-change debates, promises that U.S. emissions in 2050 will be 83 percent below 2005 levels. If so, 2050 emissions will equal those in 1910, when there were 92 million Americans. But there will be 420 million Americans in 2050, so Obama's promise means that per capita emissions then will be about what they were in 1875. That. Will. Not. Happen.”


To further confuse the matter, Damian Thompson, calls to our attention in his October 11 UK’s Telegraph column, “The BBC’s amazing U-turn on climate change,” that the BBC’s Paul Hudson: “… has joined the ranks of skeptics who reject the theory of man-made global warming, but because at last he has written a story about the well-established fact that the earth’s temperature has not risen since 1998, and reports seriously the theories of climatologists (themselves not skeptics) who believe that we are in for 30 years of cooling caused by the falling temperatures of the oceans.”


Not to worry. The coming ice age will be countermanded by all the hot air produced by the Copenhagen conference, the upcoming climate change summit in Mexico City in 2010 and all the spin produced by an obsequious sycophant American press that whatever President Obama does in Denmark will be a huge success.


Kevin Dayhoff writes from Westminster. E-mail him at


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